"We all know what this is about. It's an earmark for a single plant," said Sen. Tom Coburn (R-Okla.)
"After Bush rolled out FutureGen in 2003, ..."
...battle over FutureGen accelerated about a year ago when the Bush administration blocked the project hours after Mattoon was chosen over two towns in President George W. Bush's home state of Texas.
In December 2007, the alliance announced its choice of Mattoon, a community of 17,000 people, 190 miles south of Chicago, that had the strongest local support and a geological edge: Beneath the site is a natural sandstone formation that could serve as an ideal trap to keep carbon dioxide emissions stored underground.
But in the weeks after that announcement, the Bush administration began moving behind the scenes to stop the project, even while promoting it publicly.
The reasons behind the Bush administration's decision to kill the plant are the subject of two year-long probes -- one by the Government Accountability Office and another by a congressional committee -- that will be released this month.
THE STIMULUS
New Life for 'Clean Coal' Project
Illinois Plant Was Abandoned by Bush; Now Its Backers Are in Power
By Kimberly Kindy
Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, March 6, 2009; Page A01
Deep inside the economic stimulus package is a $1 billion prize that, in five short words, shows the benefits of being in power in Washington.
The funding, for "fossil energy research and development," is likely to go to a power plant in a small Illinois town, a project whose longtime backers include a group of powerful lawmakers from the state, among them President Obama.
They were unable to prevent the "clean coal" research project known as FutureGen from being abruptly killed last year by the Bush administration, which had created it and promoted it across the world as an environmentally sound way to produce power.
But now those same Illinois legislators -- including Rahm Emanuel, now White House chief of staff, and Ray LaHood, now transportation secretary -- control the White House and hold key leadership positions in Washington, and FutureGen is on the verge of resurrection.
Energy Secretary Steven Chu said yesterday that he would support the plant with "some modifications."
"I have to say, there are many, many good things about it," Chu said after testifying before a Senate committee.
If FutureGen lived up to its promises, it would revolutionize the use of coal. On what is now 400 acres of cornfields in Mattoon, Ill., backers plan to build a commercial-size power plant that would produce 275 megawatts of electricity, enough to power 150,000 homes. Instead of releasing the resulting carbon dioxide emissions into the air as pollution, however, the plant would pump them into deep geologic formations thousands of feet below Earth's surface.
The project's goal is to test and develop affordable technology, on a commercial scale, that can remove 90 percent of emissions produced by coal plants. Chu said he thinks that the plant -- which would be built with a group of private coal and utility companies known as the FutureGen Alliance -- will move forward with some changes that have not yet been determined and will become a part of larger "portfolio" of research plants developed with other countries.
The FutureGen plant is expected to create jobs, and backers are currently pushing it as a stimulus project that could employ as many as 11,000 workers. The alliance must compete for the stimulus funds, but Chu's support adds significant momentum to the effort.
FutureGen's destiny is being decided as the debate over clean coal technology takes center stage in Washington, drawing big money in lobbying fees and campaign contributions. More than $20 million has been spent to hire lobbying firms that have petitioned members of Congress on FutureGen and other clean coal issues, according to a Washington Post analysis. And employees of the energy companies in the FutureGen Alliance have donated $3 million to congressional and presidential candidates.
The battle over FutureGen accelerated about a year ago when the Bush administration blocked the project hours after Mattoon was chosen over two towns in President George W. Bush's home state of Texas. The Illinois delegation responded with a bitter, bare-knuckle fight to save the plant. Without any assurance that their efforts would pay off, backers in Illinois spent tens of millions of dollars to buy land and have the project "shovel ready" -- before there was ever talk of a stimulus bill.
Senate Majority Whip Richard J. Durbin (D), who led the Illinois delegation's efforts, worked the system, blocking some Bush administration appointments and holding hearings to publicly vilify the officials who stood in his way.
"This has been my longest, most difficult battle in Congress," Durbin said.
The fight got a lot easier after Obama was elected. Within weeks, his transition team met with FutureGen's industry partners. In January, when Obama announced his plans for an economic stimulus bill, Durbin and other members of the Illinois delegation quickly crafted a $2 billion line item to fund a "near zero-emissions power plant(s)," and Sen. Byron L. Dorgan (D-N.D.) placed it in the Senate version of the legislation.
Republicans in both chambers pointed out that only one shovel-ready project in the country met the criteria spelled out in the bill: the FutureGen plant in Mattoon.
"We all know what this is about. It's an earmark for a single plant," said Sen. Tom Coburn (R-Okla.), who railed against the item, securing support to keep it out of the House bill. Coburn labeled it "pork," placing it at the top of his government-waste list, which is emblazoned with the image of a pig.
The $2 billion in the Senate bill was zeroed out by the joint House-Senate conference committee that met to resolve differences in the chambers' two bills. In a compromise that Durbin helped craft, the final version of the legislation cut the funding to $1 billion and specified that it go to "fossil energy research and development." The new language still described the project but deflected mounting criticism by opening the door to other proposals.
When the Bush administration moved to kill FutureGen, officials cited its cost, with estimates rising from $1 billion to $1.8 billion as it approached construction. They also objected to a cost-sharing arrangement with industry that required the government to pay for more than two-thirds of the project.
"The likelihood that it would fail, leaving the American people with hundreds of millions of dollars in sunk cost and none of the benefits, is not acceptable," then-Energy Secretary Samuel W. Bodman said in a Feb. 6, 2008, letter to the editor in the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Bodman declined to comment for this article.
After Bush rolled out FutureGen in 2003, coal mining unions and coal states immediately started leveraging to host the plant. Among the most aggressive was Illinois. Then-Gov. Rod Blagojevich (D) formed the FutureGen for Illinois Task Force, which included the state's entire congressional delegation. He paid D.C. lobbying giant Cassidy and Associates more than $460,000 to help land the plant.
In July 2006, it was clear that the strategy was paying off when the FutureGen Alliance announced the four site finalists -- two in Illinois and two in Texas.
Over the coming months, Illinois further ginned up its self-promotion. The towns of Tuscola and Mattoon held a joint rally at a high school where a man dressed as Santa Claus passed out pieces of coal to cheering residents, politicians and schoolchildren.
In December 2007, the alliance announced its choice of Mattoon, a community of 17,000 people, 190 miles south of Chicago, that had the strongest local support and a geological edge: Beneath the site is a natural sandstone formation that could serve as an ideal trap to keep carbon dioxide emissions stored underground.
But in the weeks after that announcement, the Bush administration began moving behind the scenes to stop the project, even while promoting it publicly.
The reasons behind the Bush administration's decision to kill the plant are the subject of two year-long probes -- one by the Government Accountability Office and another by a congressional committee -- that will be released this month.
Internal department e-mails and memos show that Bodman directed his staff to develop an alternative plan, exploring whether to scrap the large plant and replace it with five or six smaller plants to test pieces of the same technology. The e-mails show that staff members were skeptical of the new plan, dubbed "FutureGen Plan B," which would call on the industry to pay a higher share of the cost.
"New money riding in to save the day seems unlikely," said one e-mail. Staff members described the new plan as unworkable and came up with their own name for it -- "the Frankenstein."
Incensed by what he viewed as duplicity on the part of the Bush administration, Durbin began making frequent calls to Bodman's office, records show, and quickly organized a campaign to keep the plant alive. He aligned 19 other members of Congress to join him in late December 2007, first by signing a protest letter to Bodman, then by gathering fellow lawmakers to confront the energy secretary.
The meeting in Durbin's office quickly became heated, as Bodman told lawmakers for the first time that the plant in Mattoon was dead.
"This is a meeting unlike any meeting I've been a part of. Members of Congress are literally screaming and waving their fists at the secretary," said someone in attendance, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the ongoing debate over FutureGen.
"We won this competition fair and square," Durbin said. "I told Bodman point-blank, 'We are going to keep this alive for the next president.' "
The next day, Bodman went public with his decision to replace the FutureGen project with multiple smaller plants. Obama and the rest of the Illinois delegation wrote to Bush, charging that the secretary had "misled us and the people of Illinois, creating false hope in a FutureGen project which he had no intention of funding or supporting."
The group organized three congressional hearings in the spring, challenging Bodman to explain his decision. In July, the Senate Appropriations Committee voted to protect $134 million in funding for FutureGen in Mattoon, prohibiting the Energy Department from spending it on anything else.
Still, Bodman moved forward with Plan B, hoping to set the new plan in motion before the next administration was in place. But just four sites submitted proposals; two did not qualify and two others were incomplete, according to lawmakers and former department staffers.
Last week, Durbin and the delegation persuaded Congress to lift a freeze on $73 million of the money set aside in July, directing Chu to use it for the project if it is revived. The same day, the delegation sent Chu a letter, arguing that the plant in Mattoon should get the stimulus money because it is "five years ahead of any comparable project. . . . We cannot further delay on this promising technology."
Research editor Alice Crites contributed to this report.
Friday, March 6, 2009
Wednesday, March 4, 2009
“When are consumers going to stop getting the short end in this bailout?
Credit card firms back in hot seatBy VICTORIA MCGRANE & LISA LERER | 3/4/09 4:13 AM EST
Longtime supporters of credit card reform have a new weapon in their rhetorical arsenal: the $700 billion Wall Street bailout.
“The big banks got billions of our tax dollars to rescue them from their own financial mess. Now they turn around and hit us with higher interest rates and fees on our credit cards,” read a recent alert from the Consumers Union, the publisher of Consumer Reports.
Indeed, a coalition of consumer advocates believes the time is right for cracking down on high credit card fees, abusive practices and loose regulations in the credit card industry.
“When are consumers going to stop getting the short end in this bailout? Chase, Citibank, HSBC, Capitol One and others recently hiked interest rates, with the average card rate now about 14 percent. Meanwhile, the banks are paying as little as 0 percent for overnight loans. Unbelievable,” the alert declared before prompting the reader to tell Congress to pass credit card legislation.
Consumer advocates and some Democrats have pushed for tighter credit card regulations for more than a decade, but they could not overcome resistance from card issuers, banks and financial services firms. Last year, a credit card bill sponsored by Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-N.Y.) passed the House but died in the Senate. And in a January 2007 hearing, Senate Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) put the industry “on notice,” warning card issuers to halt abusive practices.
Now, in the wake of the financial crisis, advocates believe a major credit card bill has become almost inevitable.
“Critical mass for credit card reform is definitely at its highest level ever,” said Travis Plunkett, legislative director of the Consumer Federation of America. Credit card legislation has been introduced in both the House and the Senate already this year.
Credit card defaults have risen over the past year as strapped consumers struggle to make their payments. Some lawmakers see a parallel between abusive credit card fees and the predatory mortgage lending that contributed to the subprime crisis. Now, public and congressional anger at Wall Street is clearly coloring lawmakers’ attitudes toward credit card lenders as well.
A co-sponsor of the House bill, Rep. Maxine Waters (D-Calif.) assailed CEOs of major banks for raising interest rates on consumers after accepting billions in taxpayer-funded bailouts during a Feb. 12 hearing.
Addressing the eight Wall Street CEOs as “captains of the universe,” she demanded to know which of them had notified credit cardholders of increased rates. Bank of America CEO Ken Lewis said his company has raised rates on 9 percent of its customers. Two other CEOs also raised their hands in the affirmative, including the head of embattled Citigroup, which recently reached a new deal with Treasury to give the federal government control of about 36 percent of the company.
Dodd did not make this specific criticism when he introduced his own credit card legislation the same day as the CEO hearing in the House, but he believes the timing is right for credit card reform.
“Families in Connecticut and across the country are struggling to make ends meet as layoffs continue, home values plunge and lines of credit are cut or canceled,” Dodd said. “The last thing they need is further financial hardship brought on by abusive credit card practices. These practices are wrong, they’re unfair, and they must end.”
“At a time when Americans are becoming increasingly reliant on credit cards, credit card companies are being more aggressive about finding ways to charge their customers,” he said.
In the House, Maloney reintroduced The Credit Cardholders’ Bill of Rights. Her bill is sponsored in the Senate by Democrats Charles Schumer of New York and Mark Udall of Colorado. Lobbyists and advocates are also closely watching Dodd’s bill. Both bills would prohibit arbitrary interest rate increases and excessive fees.
There’s been action on the regulatory side as well. In December, the Federal Reserve passed the strongest credit card rules in decades, banning certain practices that rapidly increase penalties. The new rules also forced credit card companies to be clearer about their billing practices.
The Fed rules won’t take effect until mid-2010. That’s far too late for struggling cardholders facing default now, say consumer advocates arguing for even stricter legislation.
Banks say they are currently working to implement the new Federal Reserve rules, which they believe address most if not all of lawmakers’ concerns about credit card practices.
The lenders also warn that tougher action by Congress might backfire and force lenders to tighten credit just when consumers need it most.
“There is a serious risk that such actions could end up hurting the very people they’re trying to help because it limits the ability of card companies to lend to consumers and small businesses at the very time they can least afford it,” said Ken Clayton, managing director of credit card policy for the American Bankers Association. The trade association is leading the industry’s efforts on the credit card issue.
The bad economic environment has driven up the cost of credit card lending, despite what the Federal Reserve has done, Clayton argues.
Rising delinquencies and unemployment rates mean that fewer people are paying their bills. Moreover, investors are shying away from the secondary market for asset-backed securities — which funds 50 percent of credit card lending, he said. Lenders have been forced to turn to more expensive sources to fund lending, further driving up the cost of that credit.
The Treasury’s program to address this dynamic for credit cards, known as the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility, was just announced Tuesday. The program’s goal is to help lower the cost of credit for consumers by providing investors with financing to help them purchase certain asset-backed securities.
Lawmakers should allow the program time to work, Clayton said.
“They have to be worried that if they do something that spooks investors, it will just perpetuate the problem that they and the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department are trying to get at.”
Longtime supporters of credit card reform have a new weapon in their rhetorical arsenal: the $700 billion Wall Street bailout.
“The big banks got billions of our tax dollars to rescue them from their own financial mess. Now they turn around and hit us with higher interest rates and fees on our credit cards,” read a recent alert from the Consumers Union, the publisher of Consumer Reports.
Indeed, a coalition of consumer advocates believes the time is right for cracking down on high credit card fees, abusive practices and loose regulations in the credit card industry.
“When are consumers going to stop getting the short end in this bailout? Chase, Citibank, HSBC, Capitol One and others recently hiked interest rates, with the average card rate now about 14 percent. Meanwhile, the banks are paying as little as 0 percent for overnight loans. Unbelievable,” the alert declared before prompting the reader to tell Congress to pass credit card legislation.
Consumer advocates and some Democrats have pushed for tighter credit card regulations for more than a decade, but they could not overcome resistance from card issuers, banks and financial services firms. Last year, a credit card bill sponsored by Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-N.Y.) passed the House but died in the Senate. And in a January 2007 hearing, Senate Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) put the industry “on notice,” warning card issuers to halt abusive practices.
Now, in the wake of the financial crisis, advocates believe a major credit card bill has become almost inevitable.
“Critical mass for credit card reform is definitely at its highest level ever,” said Travis Plunkett, legislative director of the Consumer Federation of America. Credit card legislation has been introduced in both the House and the Senate already this year.
Credit card defaults have risen over the past year as strapped consumers struggle to make their payments. Some lawmakers see a parallel between abusive credit card fees and the predatory mortgage lending that contributed to the subprime crisis. Now, public and congressional anger at Wall Street is clearly coloring lawmakers’ attitudes toward credit card lenders as well.
A co-sponsor of the House bill, Rep. Maxine Waters (D-Calif.) assailed CEOs of major banks for raising interest rates on consumers after accepting billions in taxpayer-funded bailouts during a Feb. 12 hearing.
Addressing the eight Wall Street CEOs as “captains of the universe,” she demanded to know which of them had notified credit cardholders of increased rates. Bank of America CEO Ken Lewis said his company has raised rates on 9 percent of its customers. Two other CEOs also raised their hands in the affirmative, including the head of embattled Citigroup, which recently reached a new deal with Treasury to give the federal government control of about 36 percent of the company.
Dodd did not make this specific criticism when he introduced his own credit card legislation the same day as the CEO hearing in the House, but he believes the timing is right for credit card reform.
“Families in Connecticut and across the country are struggling to make ends meet as layoffs continue, home values plunge and lines of credit are cut or canceled,” Dodd said. “The last thing they need is further financial hardship brought on by abusive credit card practices. These practices are wrong, they’re unfair, and they must end.”
“At a time when Americans are becoming increasingly reliant on credit cards, credit card companies are being more aggressive about finding ways to charge their customers,” he said.
In the House, Maloney reintroduced The Credit Cardholders’ Bill of Rights. Her bill is sponsored in the Senate by Democrats Charles Schumer of New York and Mark Udall of Colorado. Lobbyists and advocates are also closely watching Dodd’s bill. Both bills would prohibit arbitrary interest rate increases and excessive fees.
There’s been action on the regulatory side as well. In December, the Federal Reserve passed the strongest credit card rules in decades, banning certain practices that rapidly increase penalties. The new rules also forced credit card companies to be clearer about their billing practices.
The Fed rules won’t take effect until mid-2010. That’s far too late for struggling cardholders facing default now, say consumer advocates arguing for even stricter legislation.
Banks say they are currently working to implement the new Federal Reserve rules, which they believe address most if not all of lawmakers’ concerns about credit card practices.
The lenders also warn that tougher action by Congress might backfire and force lenders to tighten credit just when consumers need it most.
“There is a serious risk that such actions could end up hurting the very people they’re trying to help because it limits the ability of card companies to lend to consumers and small businesses at the very time they can least afford it,” said Ken Clayton, managing director of credit card policy for the American Bankers Association. The trade association is leading the industry’s efforts on the credit card issue.
The bad economic environment has driven up the cost of credit card lending, despite what the Federal Reserve has done, Clayton argues.
Rising delinquencies and unemployment rates mean that fewer people are paying their bills. Moreover, investors are shying away from the secondary market for asset-backed securities — which funds 50 percent of credit card lending, he said. Lenders have been forced to turn to more expensive sources to fund lending, further driving up the cost of that credit.
The Treasury’s program to address this dynamic for credit cards, known as the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility, was just announced Tuesday. The program’s goal is to help lower the cost of credit for consumers by providing investors with financing to help them purchase certain asset-backed securities.
Lawmakers should allow the program time to work, Clayton said.
“They have to be worried that if they do something that spooks investors, it will just perpetuate the problem that they and the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department are trying to get at.”
Thursday, February 26, 2009
Cal Thomas' Poll for Chrisitans
Poll: Is it time for Christians to redirect their efforts from politics mainly to the greater power inherent in the Kingdom of God?
total: 10286
YES (82 %)
N0 (18 %)
total: 10286
YES (82 %)
N0 (18 %)
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
Panama Is Removed From Russian Financial Black List
Panama Is Removed From Russian Financial Black List
February 10th, 2009 • Related • Filed Under
Filed Under: DGC Announce
Tags: e-gold • GoldMoney • Panama • russian banking
From My Panama Lawyer
Until recently the government of Russia had imposed a series of restrictions on financial transactions involving Panama, because mobsters and tax evaders in the former country were known to hide their assets here. But as part of Russia joining the World Trade Organization, a bilateral accord between Russia and Panama that deals with many of these concerns has been signed and Russia has removed this country from its financial transactions blacklist. The agreement also contains a merchant marine clause that eliminates special surcharges and coast guard inspections for Panamanian-flag ship calling at Russian ports, which were imposed because of concerns about unseaworthy vessels registered in this country posing hazards in Russia’s waters.
Source: Panama News Volume 12, Number 7 April 9 - 22, 2006
http://www.thepanamanews.com/pn/v_12/issue_07/business_briefs.html
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Panama has been removed from the blacklist of the Russian Central Bank. The list, first published in the second half of the 90s, contained those jurisdictions whose financial transactions were deemed by the Central Bank to be worthy of special attention from the Russian banking sector.
The removal from the list comes as a result, at least in part, of the bilateral arrangements and agreements concluded between Panama and Russia. Samuel Lewis Navarro, Panama’s foreign minister, achieved similar results in his meetings in France, with Panama also being removed from the blacklist drawn up by the French tax authorities. This gesture by the French was aimed at helping French enterprises operating in Panama, particularly in regard to the expansion of the Panama Canal.
But what exactly are these blacklists really? As the name suggests, certain state organisations or national bodies draw up lists of offshore jurisdictions whose legislation and legal practices they consider harmful to their own country or region. The main objection raised against the offshore jurisdictions is that they siphon off capital, or rather taxation income, from countries which typically have very high rates of taxation. To defend against this, the aim of the lists is to create a kind of discrimination, or “deterrent”. Public opinion can generally be swayed by the notoriety of the lists, leading clients to think seriously about whether it is worth establishing a company in a blacklisted jurisdiction, or rather avoiding such complications.
The most serious sanction, however, is when the country using the list introduces concrete financial steps. For example, they may not allow, or may impose conditions on, certain bank transfers. The other important area of sanctions is where local companies who, say, pay invoices from blacklisted jurisdictions, may be subjected to more stringent inspections. If, for example, a German company includes in its accounts an invoice for consultancy services from a company in Liechtenstein, this may be enough for the authorities to instigate a full tax inspection of the German company for the last 5 years.
February 10th, 2009 • Related • Filed Under
Filed Under: DGC Announce
Tags: e-gold • GoldMoney • Panama • russian banking
From My Panama Lawyer
Until recently the government of Russia had imposed a series of restrictions on financial transactions involving Panama, because mobsters and tax evaders in the former country were known to hide their assets here. But as part of Russia joining the World Trade Organization, a bilateral accord between Russia and Panama that deals with many of these concerns has been signed and Russia has removed this country from its financial transactions blacklist. The agreement also contains a merchant marine clause that eliminates special surcharges and coast guard inspections for Panamanian-flag ship calling at Russian ports, which were imposed because of concerns about unseaworthy vessels registered in this country posing hazards in Russia’s waters.
Source: Panama News Volume 12, Number 7 April 9 - 22, 2006
http://www.thepanamanews.com/pn/v_12/issue_07/business_briefs.html
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Panama has been removed from the blacklist of the Russian Central Bank. The list, first published in the second half of the 90s, contained those jurisdictions whose financial transactions were deemed by the Central Bank to be worthy of special attention from the Russian banking sector.
The removal from the list comes as a result, at least in part, of the bilateral arrangements and agreements concluded between Panama and Russia. Samuel Lewis Navarro, Panama’s foreign minister, achieved similar results in his meetings in France, with Panama also being removed from the blacklist drawn up by the French tax authorities. This gesture by the French was aimed at helping French enterprises operating in Panama, particularly in regard to the expansion of the Panama Canal.
But what exactly are these blacklists really? As the name suggests, certain state organisations or national bodies draw up lists of offshore jurisdictions whose legislation and legal practices they consider harmful to their own country or region. The main objection raised against the offshore jurisdictions is that they siphon off capital, or rather taxation income, from countries which typically have very high rates of taxation. To defend against this, the aim of the lists is to create a kind of discrimination, or “deterrent”. Public opinion can generally be swayed by the notoriety of the lists, leading clients to think seriously about whether it is worth establishing a company in a blacklisted jurisdiction, or rather avoiding such complications.
The most serious sanction, however, is when the country using the list introduces concrete financial steps. For example, they may not allow, or may impose conditions on, certain bank transfers. The other important area of sanctions is where local companies who, say, pay invoices from blacklisted jurisdictions, may be subjected to more stringent inspections. If, for example, a German company includes in its accounts an invoice for consultancy services from a company in Liechtenstein, this may be enough for the authorities to instigate a full tax inspection of the German company for the last 5 years.
Sunday, December 21, 2008
Americans — “the most over-extended consumer in world history”
Op-Ed Columnist
China to the Rescue? Not!
By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN
Published: December 20, 2008
I had no idea that many of those oil paintings that hang in hotel rooms and starter homes across America are actually produced by just one Chinese village, Dafen, north of Hong Kong. And I had no idea that Dafen’s artist colony — the world’s leading center for mass-produced artwork and knockoffs of masterpieces — had been devastated by the bursting of the U.S. housing bubble. I should have, though.
“American property owners and hotels were usually the biggest consumers of Dafen’s works,” Zhou Xiaohong, deputy head of the Art Industry Association of Dafen, told Hong Kong’s Sunday Morning Post. “The more houses built in the United States, the more walls that needed our paintings. Now our business has frozen following the crash of the Western property market.”
Dafen is just one of a million Chinese and American enterprises that constitute the most important economic engine in the world today — what historian Niall Ferguson calls “Chimerica,” the de facto partnership between Chinese savers and producers and U.S. spenders and borrowers. That 30-year-old partnership is about to undergo a radical restructuring as a result of the current economic crisis, and the global economy will be highly impacted by the outcome.
After all, it was China’s willingness to hold the dollars and Treasury bills it had earned from exporting to America that helped keep U.S. interest rates low, giving Americans the money they needed to keep buying shoes, flat-screen TVs and paintings from China, as well as homes in America. Americans then borrowed against those homes to consume even more — one reason we enjoyed rising wealth without rising incomes.
This division of labor not only nourished our respective economies, but also shaped our politics. It enabled China’s ruling Communist Party to say to its people: “We will guarantee you ever-higher standards of living and in return you will stay out of politics and let us rule.” So China’s leaders could enjoy double-digit growth without political reform. And it enabled successive U.S. administrations, particularly the current one, to tell Americans: “You can have guns and butter — subprime mortgages with nothing down and nothing to pay for two years, ever-higher consumption and two wars, without tax increases!”
It all worked — until it didn’t.
With unemployment now soaring across the U.S., said Stephen Roach, the chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, Americans — “the most over-extended consumer in world history” —can no longer buy so many Chinese exports. We need to save more, invest more, consume less and throw out most of our credit cards to bail ourselves out of this crisis.
But as that happens, we need China to take our discarded credit cards and distribute them to its own people so they can buy more of what China produces and more imports from the rest of the world. That’s the only way Beijing can sustain the minimum 8 percent growth it needs to maintain the political bargain between China’s leaders and led — not to mention pick up some of the slack in the global economy from America’s slowdown.
However, if I’ve learned one thing here, it’s just how hard doing that will be. China’s whole system and culture nourish saving, not spending, and changing that will require a huge “cultural and structural” shift, said Fred Hu, chairman for Greater China for Goldman Sachs.
In China, for instance, to buy a home you have to put at least 20 percent down, and the average is 40 percent. If you try to walk away from the mortgage, the bank will come after your personal assets. Moreover, China can’t just shift production from the U.S. market to its own consumers. Not many Chinese villagers want to buy $400 tennis shoes or Christmas tree ornaments.
Also, China has no real Social Security, health insurance or unemployment insurance. Without that social safety net, it’s hard to see how Chinese don’t end up saving most of their stimulus. “You open up the newspaper every day and you hear about this factory shutting down or that supplier going belly up,” said Willie Fung, whose company, Top Form International, is the world’s leading bra maker. “You can never be too careful in this financial climate.”
As such, “the world should not have a false hope that China can cushion the global downturn,” by stimulating its domestic demand in a big way, said Frank Gong, head of China research for JPMorgan Chase. “The best thing China can do is keep its own economy stable.”
It’s good advice. China is not going to rescue us or the world economy. We’re going to have to get out of this crisis the old-fashioned way: by digging inside ourselves and getting back to basics — improving U.S. productivity, saving more, studying harder and inventing more stuff to export. The days of phony prosperity — I borrow cheap money from China to build a house and then borrow on that house to buy cheap paintings from China to decorate my walls and everybody is a winner — are over.
China to the Rescue? Not!
By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN
Published: December 20, 2008
I had no idea that many of those oil paintings that hang in hotel rooms and starter homes across America are actually produced by just one Chinese village, Dafen, north of Hong Kong. And I had no idea that Dafen’s artist colony — the world’s leading center for mass-produced artwork and knockoffs of masterpieces — had been devastated by the bursting of the U.S. housing bubble. I should have, though.
“American property owners and hotels were usually the biggest consumers of Dafen’s works,” Zhou Xiaohong, deputy head of the Art Industry Association of Dafen, told Hong Kong’s Sunday Morning Post. “The more houses built in the United States, the more walls that needed our paintings. Now our business has frozen following the crash of the Western property market.”
Dafen is just one of a million Chinese and American enterprises that constitute the most important economic engine in the world today — what historian Niall Ferguson calls “Chimerica,” the de facto partnership between Chinese savers and producers and U.S. spenders and borrowers. That 30-year-old partnership is about to undergo a radical restructuring as a result of the current economic crisis, and the global economy will be highly impacted by the outcome.
After all, it was China’s willingness to hold the dollars and Treasury bills it had earned from exporting to America that helped keep U.S. interest rates low, giving Americans the money they needed to keep buying shoes, flat-screen TVs and paintings from China, as well as homes in America. Americans then borrowed against those homes to consume even more — one reason we enjoyed rising wealth without rising incomes.
This division of labor not only nourished our respective economies, but also shaped our politics. It enabled China’s ruling Communist Party to say to its people: “We will guarantee you ever-higher standards of living and in return you will stay out of politics and let us rule.” So China’s leaders could enjoy double-digit growth without political reform. And it enabled successive U.S. administrations, particularly the current one, to tell Americans: “You can have guns and butter — subprime mortgages with nothing down and nothing to pay for two years, ever-higher consumption and two wars, without tax increases!”
It all worked — until it didn’t.
With unemployment now soaring across the U.S., said Stephen Roach, the chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, Americans — “the most over-extended consumer in world history” —can no longer buy so many Chinese exports. We need to save more, invest more, consume less and throw out most of our credit cards to bail ourselves out of this crisis.
But as that happens, we need China to take our discarded credit cards and distribute them to its own people so they can buy more of what China produces and more imports from the rest of the world. That’s the only way Beijing can sustain the minimum 8 percent growth it needs to maintain the political bargain between China’s leaders and led — not to mention pick up some of the slack in the global economy from America’s slowdown.
However, if I’ve learned one thing here, it’s just how hard doing that will be. China’s whole system and culture nourish saving, not spending, and changing that will require a huge “cultural and structural” shift, said Fred Hu, chairman for Greater China for Goldman Sachs.
In China, for instance, to buy a home you have to put at least 20 percent down, and the average is 40 percent. If you try to walk away from the mortgage, the bank will come after your personal assets. Moreover, China can’t just shift production from the U.S. market to its own consumers. Not many Chinese villagers want to buy $400 tennis shoes or Christmas tree ornaments.
Also, China has no real Social Security, health insurance or unemployment insurance. Without that social safety net, it’s hard to see how Chinese don’t end up saving most of their stimulus. “You open up the newspaper every day and you hear about this factory shutting down or that supplier going belly up,” said Willie Fung, whose company, Top Form International, is the world’s leading bra maker. “You can never be too careful in this financial climate.”
As such, “the world should not have a false hope that China can cushion the global downturn,” by stimulating its domestic demand in a big way, said Frank Gong, head of China research for JPMorgan Chase. “The best thing China can do is keep its own economy stable.”
It’s good advice. China is not going to rescue us or the world economy. We’re going to have to get out of this crisis the old-fashioned way: by digging inside ourselves and getting back to basics — improving U.S. productivity, saving more, studying harder and inventing more stuff to export. The days of phony prosperity — I borrow cheap money from China to build a house and then borrow on that house to buy cheap paintings from China to decorate my walls and everybody is a winner — are over.
Thursday, December 18, 2008
Are you kidding me? Extend Cobra? Outrageous!!
How does this help with the cost of a Cobra plan? Are you kidding?
'...Rep. Pete Stark (D-Calif.), chairman of the House Ways and Means health subcommittee, is lobbying to expand COBRA insurance and provide subsidies to people who cannot afford the premiums. Currently, unemployed people can purchase health coverage through their previous employer, but it expires after 18 months and the individual must pay the full price plus an administrative fee. "When people lose their jobs, they lose their health insurance," he said. "Not having health care is right up there with food and shelter." ...'
Obama, Lawmakers Expanding Health Measures in Stimulus Plan
By Ceci Connolly
Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, December 12, 2008; 12:03 AM
President-elect Barack Obama and Democratic leaders in Congress are devising plans to significantly expand the health provisions in next month's economic recovery legislation, arguing that pouring billions of dollars into an array of health programs will not only boost the economy but also make a down payment on promises of broader health-care reform.
In a stimulus bill that could exceed $500 billion, Obama has already pledged to increase federal Medicaid spending -- perhaps by more than $40 billion over two years -- and to make a large investment in health information technology. Talks are underway about also adding money to retrain medical workers, extending the State Children's Health Insurance Program, and expanding the law that allows unemployed people to purchase health insurance through a previous employer's plan, known as COBRA.
At a Chicago news conference yesterday to introduce Thomas A. Daschle as his choice for health and human services secretary, Obama said major reform of the health-care system "has to be intimately woven into our overall economic recovery plan."
"It's not something that we can sort of put off because we're in an emergency," he said. "This is part of the emergency."
Daschle, a former Senate majority leader, said that "addressing our health-care challenges" offers the best hope for reducing personal bankruptcies, improving American competitiveness and helping "pull our economy out of its current tailspin."
Their comments came just hours after the government announced that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the week ending Dec. 6 was 570,000, the highest in 26 years.
"It's hard to overstate the urgency of this work," Obama said.
Part of the political rationale for adding more health-care projects to the recovery package is to "get a running start" on the larger goal of broad health reform, said Nancy LeaMond, an executive vice president at the seniors' lobby AARP. "This builds momentum."
Additionally, including health-care reform measures in the context of the economic recovery bill would keep Congress from having to deal with those debates and expenditures in the later, larger discussion, said Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D-Mont.).
"We're going to be very busy here in Congress," he said in an interview. Baucus aims to begin marking up a stimulus bill the first week of January in hopes that it can be ready by Inauguration Day. He is pressing to include provisions that would steer money into health technology, such as adoption of electronic medical records, and reauthorization of the SCHIP program for two to three years.
"It's very important that health IT be part of the economic recovery," he said. "It represents the beginning of health-care reform."
During the campaign, Obama spoke of spending $50 billion on modernizing the health-care system by helping doctors and hospitals install and use computers. Sources involved in preparing the stimulus package said it might include $10 billion of that as a down payment.
"Investing in the health of the American people is a crucial part of the nation's economic recovery," said Sen. Edward M. Kennedy (D-Mass.), chairman of the Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee. "Modernizing our health-care system through better use of information technology is the key to easing the heavy burden of health-care costs."
Physicians have consistently complained that moving to electronic medical records or electronic prescribing involves spending money to purchase equipment and train workers. Several Democrats yesterday said the money could help defray the cost of those capital expenditures, pay for training programs or fund ongoing research on developing standards.
Rep. Pete Stark (D-Calif.), chairman of the House Ways and Means health subcommittee, is lobbying to expand COBRA insurance and provide subsidies to people who cannot afford the premiums. Currently, unemployed people can purchase health coverage through their previous employer, but it expires after 18 months and the individual must pay the full price plus an administrative fee. "When people lose their jobs, they lose their health insurance," he said. "Not having health care is right up there with food and shelter."
In addition to his Cabinet post, Daschle will be head of the new White House Office of Health Reform. His deputy will be Jeanne Lambrew, a veteran of the Clinton administration who co-wrote a book with Daschle on health-care reform.
In making the announcement, Obama described his friend Daschle as "the original no-drama guy."
'...Rep. Pete Stark (D-Calif.), chairman of the House Ways and Means health subcommittee, is lobbying to expand COBRA insurance and provide subsidies to people who cannot afford the premiums. Currently, unemployed people can purchase health coverage through their previous employer, but it expires after 18 months and the individual must pay the full price plus an administrative fee. "When people lose their jobs, they lose their health insurance," he said. "Not having health care is right up there with food and shelter." ...'
Obama, Lawmakers Expanding Health Measures in Stimulus Plan
By Ceci Connolly
Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, December 12, 2008; 12:03 AM
President-elect Barack Obama and Democratic leaders in Congress are devising plans to significantly expand the health provisions in next month's economic recovery legislation, arguing that pouring billions of dollars into an array of health programs will not only boost the economy but also make a down payment on promises of broader health-care reform.
In a stimulus bill that could exceed $500 billion, Obama has already pledged to increase federal Medicaid spending -- perhaps by more than $40 billion over two years -- and to make a large investment in health information technology. Talks are underway about also adding money to retrain medical workers, extending the State Children's Health Insurance Program, and expanding the law that allows unemployed people to purchase health insurance through a previous employer's plan, known as COBRA.
At a Chicago news conference yesterday to introduce Thomas A. Daschle as his choice for health and human services secretary, Obama said major reform of the health-care system "has to be intimately woven into our overall economic recovery plan."
"It's not something that we can sort of put off because we're in an emergency," he said. "This is part of the emergency."
Daschle, a former Senate majority leader, said that "addressing our health-care challenges" offers the best hope for reducing personal bankruptcies, improving American competitiveness and helping "pull our economy out of its current tailspin."
Their comments came just hours after the government announced that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the week ending Dec. 6 was 570,000, the highest in 26 years.
"It's hard to overstate the urgency of this work," Obama said.
Part of the political rationale for adding more health-care projects to the recovery package is to "get a running start" on the larger goal of broad health reform, said Nancy LeaMond, an executive vice president at the seniors' lobby AARP. "This builds momentum."
Additionally, including health-care reform measures in the context of the economic recovery bill would keep Congress from having to deal with those debates and expenditures in the later, larger discussion, said Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D-Mont.).
"We're going to be very busy here in Congress," he said in an interview. Baucus aims to begin marking up a stimulus bill the first week of January in hopes that it can be ready by Inauguration Day. He is pressing to include provisions that would steer money into health technology, such as adoption of electronic medical records, and reauthorization of the SCHIP program for two to three years.
"It's very important that health IT be part of the economic recovery," he said. "It represents the beginning of health-care reform."
During the campaign, Obama spoke of spending $50 billion on modernizing the health-care system by helping doctors and hospitals install and use computers. Sources involved in preparing the stimulus package said it might include $10 billion of that as a down payment.
"Investing in the health of the American people is a crucial part of the nation's economic recovery," said Sen. Edward M. Kennedy (D-Mass.), chairman of the Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee. "Modernizing our health-care system through better use of information technology is the key to easing the heavy burden of health-care costs."
Physicians have consistently complained that moving to electronic medical records or electronic prescribing involves spending money to purchase equipment and train workers. Several Democrats yesterday said the money could help defray the cost of those capital expenditures, pay for training programs or fund ongoing research on developing standards.
Rep. Pete Stark (D-Calif.), chairman of the House Ways and Means health subcommittee, is lobbying to expand COBRA insurance and provide subsidies to people who cannot afford the premiums. Currently, unemployed people can purchase health coverage through their previous employer, but it expires after 18 months and the individual must pay the full price plus an administrative fee. "When people lose their jobs, they lose their health insurance," he said. "Not having health care is right up there with food and shelter."
In addition to his Cabinet post, Daschle will be head of the new White House Office of Health Reform. His deputy will be Jeanne Lambrew, a veteran of the Clinton administration who co-wrote a book with Daschle on health-care reform.
In making the announcement, Obama described his friend Daschle as "the original no-drama guy."
Sunday, December 14, 2008
Our Disinformed Electorate
Our Disinformed Electorate
December 12, 2008
by Kathleen Hall Jamieson and Brooks Jackson
We saw more aggressive fact-checking by journalists in this election than ever before. Unfortunately, as a post-election Annenberg Public Policy Center poll confirms, millions of voters were bamboozled anyway.
More than half of U.S. adults (52 percent) said the claim that Sen. Barack Obama’s tax plan would raise taxes on most small businesses is truthful, when in fact only a small percentage would see any increase.
More than two in five (42.3 percent) found truth in the claim that Sen. John McCain planned to "cut more than 800 billion dollars in Medicare payments and cut benefits," even though McCain made clear he had no intent to cut benefits.
The first falsehood was peddled to voters by McCain throughout his campaign, and the second was made in a pair of ads run heavily in the final weeks of the campaign by Obama.
These aren’t isolated examples. One in four (25.6 percent) of those who earned too little to have seen any tax increase under Obama's plan nevertheless believed that he intended to "increase your own federal income taxes," accepting McCain's repeated claims that "painful" tax hikes were being proposed on "families." Nearly two in five (39.8 percent) thought McCain had said he would keep troops in combat in Iraq for up to 100 years, though he’d actually spoken of a peacetime presence such as that in Japan or South Korea. Close to one in three (31 percent) believed widely disseminated claims that Obama would give Social Security or health care benefits to illegal immigrants, when in fact he would do neither.
We’re not surprised. As we wrote in "unSpun: finding facts in a world of disinformation," the same thing happened in 2004 when majorities of voters believed untrue things that had been fed to them by the Bush and Kerry campaigns.
One reason is obvious: Political ads run thousands of times and reach far more people than articles on FactCheck.org. On our best day, we were read by 462,678 visitors. By contrast, the Obama campaign aired two ads claiming that McCain planned to cut Medicare benefits a total of 17,614 times at a cost estimated to be more than $7 million – which is several times more than FactCheck.org's entire annual budget.
There are deeper reasons as well. We humans all have a basic disposition to embrace our side's arguments and reject or ignore those offered by an opponent. Our polling reflects that. After taking differences in age, race, gender and education into account, Republicans were still 4.4 times more likely than Democrats to believe that Obama would raise taxes on most small businesses, and Democrats were 3.2 times more likely than Republicans to believe that McCain would cut Medicare benefits. Simply put, partisanship trumps evidence.
This also helps explain why so many people accept the most preposterous claims circulated by chain e-mail messages and ignorant or irresponsible bloggers. Our poll found nearly one in five (19 percent) falsely think Obama is a Muslim, and even more (22 percent) find truth in the claim that he’s nearly half Arab. Republicans were 2.8 times more likely than Democrats to buy the Muslim claim, and just over twice as likely to swallow the half-Arab notion.
This is "group think" in action. We humans tend to marry, date, befriend and talk with people who already agree with us, and hence are less likely to say, "Wait a minute – that’s just not true."
Consultants also dupe us by exploiting our partisan preconceptions. People tend to believe Democrats are more likely than Republicans to raise taxes, so McCain was pushing on an open door when he repeatedly claimed Obama would raise taxes on ordinary voters, and not just the most affluent. By the same token, Obama found it easy to sell his bogus claim that McCain planned to cut Medicare benefits by 22 percent, because Republicans have a reputation as opponents of social programs.
Voters aren’t highly knowledgeable about government to begin with. Our poll shows that nearly one in three (31 percent) think Congress or the president, not the Supreme Court, have the final call on whether laws are constitutional. Nearly one in 10 (9.9 percent) think Republicans still control the House of Representatives, even though they’ve had two years to catch up on results of the 2006 elections.
And voters, once deceived, tend to stay that way despite all evidence. Nearly half in our poll (46 percent) agreed that Saddam Hussein played a role in the attacks of September 11, even though no solid evidence has ever emerged to support this notion.
None of this bodes well for the future, in our view. Spending hundreds of millions of dollars on campaigns that systematically disinform the public can only make the task of governing harder for the eventual winner. But are we discouraged that our efforts didn’t prevent this? Not at all. If we hadn’t tried, it might have been worse.
Kathleen Hall Jamieson is director of the University of Pennsylvania’s Annenberg Public Policy Center. Brooks Jackson is director of the APPC project FactCheck.org. They are co-authors of "unSpun, finding facts in a world of disinformation."
The Annenberg post-election poll was conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International, which interviewed 3,008 adults in the continental United States by telephone from Nov. 5 through Nov. 18, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the complete set of weighted data is ±2.3 percent.
December 12, 2008
by Kathleen Hall Jamieson and Brooks Jackson
We saw more aggressive fact-checking by journalists in this election than ever before. Unfortunately, as a post-election Annenberg Public Policy Center poll confirms, millions of voters were bamboozled anyway.
More than half of U.S. adults (52 percent) said the claim that Sen. Barack Obama’s tax plan would raise taxes on most small businesses is truthful, when in fact only a small percentage would see any increase.
More than two in five (42.3 percent) found truth in the claim that Sen. John McCain planned to "cut more than 800 billion dollars in Medicare payments and cut benefits," even though McCain made clear he had no intent to cut benefits.
The first falsehood was peddled to voters by McCain throughout his campaign, and the second was made in a pair of ads run heavily in the final weeks of the campaign by Obama.
These aren’t isolated examples. One in four (25.6 percent) of those who earned too little to have seen any tax increase under Obama's plan nevertheless believed that he intended to "increase your own federal income taxes," accepting McCain's repeated claims that "painful" tax hikes were being proposed on "families." Nearly two in five (39.8 percent) thought McCain had said he would keep troops in combat in Iraq for up to 100 years, though he’d actually spoken of a peacetime presence such as that in Japan or South Korea. Close to one in three (31 percent) believed widely disseminated claims that Obama would give Social Security or health care benefits to illegal immigrants, when in fact he would do neither.
We’re not surprised. As we wrote in "unSpun: finding facts in a world of disinformation," the same thing happened in 2004 when majorities of voters believed untrue things that had been fed to them by the Bush and Kerry campaigns.
One reason is obvious: Political ads run thousands of times and reach far more people than articles on FactCheck.org. On our best day, we were read by 462,678 visitors. By contrast, the Obama campaign aired two ads claiming that McCain planned to cut Medicare benefits a total of 17,614 times at a cost estimated to be more than $7 million – which is several times more than FactCheck.org's entire annual budget.
There are deeper reasons as well. We humans all have a basic disposition to embrace our side's arguments and reject or ignore those offered by an opponent. Our polling reflects that. After taking differences in age, race, gender and education into account, Republicans were still 4.4 times more likely than Democrats to believe that Obama would raise taxes on most small businesses, and Democrats were 3.2 times more likely than Republicans to believe that McCain would cut Medicare benefits. Simply put, partisanship trumps evidence.
This also helps explain why so many people accept the most preposterous claims circulated by chain e-mail messages and ignorant or irresponsible bloggers. Our poll found nearly one in five (19 percent) falsely think Obama is a Muslim, and even more (22 percent) find truth in the claim that he’s nearly half Arab. Republicans were 2.8 times more likely than Democrats to buy the Muslim claim, and just over twice as likely to swallow the half-Arab notion.
This is "group think" in action. We humans tend to marry, date, befriend and talk with people who already agree with us, and hence are less likely to say, "Wait a minute – that’s just not true."
Consultants also dupe us by exploiting our partisan preconceptions. People tend to believe Democrats are more likely than Republicans to raise taxes, so McCain was pushing on an open door when he repeatedly claimed Obama would raise taxes on ordinary voters, and not just the most affluent. By the same token, Obama found it easy to sell his bogus claim that McCain planned to cut Medicare benefits by 22 percent, because Republicans have a reputation as opponents of social programs.
Voters aren’t highly knowledgeable about government to begin with. Our poll shows that nearly one in three (31 percent) think Congress or the president, not the Supreme Court, have the final call on whether laws are constitutional. Nearly one in 10 (9.9 percent) think Republicans still control the House of Representatives, even though they’ve had two years to catch up on results of the 2006 elections.
And voters, once deceived, tend to stay that way despite all evidence. Nearly half in our poll (46 percent) agreed that Saddam Hussein played a role in the attacks of September 11, even though no solid evidence has ever emerged to support this notion.
None of this bodes well for the future, in our view. Spending hundreds of millions of dollars on campaigns that systematically disinform the public can only make the task of governing harder for the eventual winner. But are we discouraged that our efforts didn’t prevent this? Not at all. If we hadn’t tried, it might have been worse.
Kathleen Hall Jamieson is director of the University of Pennsylvania’s Annenberg Public Policy Center. Brooks Jackson is director of the APPC project FactCheck.org. They are co-authors of "unSpun, finding facts in a world of disinformation."
The Annenberg post-election poll was conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International, which interviewed 3,008 adults in the continental United States by telephone from Nov. 5 through Nov. 18, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the complete set of weighted data is ±2.3 percent.
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